March 29th, 2011 at 09:06am
Under Economy Report
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This is the VOA Special English Economics Report.
Egypt is the biggest of the nations hit by recent protests in North Africa and the Middle East. One of the causes of this spreading wave of popular dissatisfaction is a lack of economic progress.
Egypt is not a major oil exporter and its economy is not big enough to affect world economic growth. But important pipelines cross Egypt. And Egypt controls the Suez Canal. About eight percent of world shipping passes through this link between Europe and Asia. That includes two million barrels of oil each day, mainly to Europe.
Many experts say they expect the canal to remain open. Still, concerns about the Suez have pushed oil prices to their highest levels since two thousand eight.
Fariborz Ghadar heads the Center for Global Business Studies at Penn State University. He says poverty in Egypt remains high — up to forty percent in some areas.
Yet Egypt is not alone. Foreign investors worry about corruption, mismanagement and security problems across North Africa and the Middle East.
Every year millions of young people enter the job market. Populations are young and fast growing. In Egypt, the economy grew about five percent last year — too little growth to create enough jobs.
Fariborz Ghadar says the United States in a good year creates fewer than two million jobs.
FARIBORZ GHADAR: “Europe and the US together generate three million jobs. [The] Middle East alone to keep their youth employed has to generate six, seven, eight million jobs. So they have to produce two or three times as many jobs as the total US and total European economies.”
Fariborz Ghadar says protests could spread to bigger economies.
FARIBORZ GHADAR: “So the mismanagement of the Iranian economy could in fact see a backlash of the Iranian population because their food prices are going up too. Their inflation is going up, too.”
The World Bank has praised Egypt for cutting barriers to trade. But economist Deborah Hewitt at the College of William & Mary in Virginia says private foreign investment remains weak. She says those investments have grown quickly from almost nothing eight years ago. But they are still not enough to lift the economy.
Professor Hewitt says Egypt could look to reforms in Morocco that have appealed to investors. Morocco has strengthened its education system and invested in roads, ports and electric power. She says investments like these not only put people to work. They also create the basis for future economic — and political — development.
DEBORAH HEWITT: “With economic growth and expansion comes the desire for more political freedom. And the two go hand in hand. They feed on each other.”
And that’s the Special English Economics Report written by Mario Ritter. I’m Steve Ember.
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March 16th, 2010 at 09:36am
Under Economy Report
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Government-owned investment company Dubai World seeks a six-month freeze in paying $26 billion in debt. Could this be a signal of more problems to come elsewhere in the world? Transcript of radio broadcast:
03 December 2009 |
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This is the VOA Special English Economics Report.
In recent years, a shining city grew in the desert of Dubai on — and even off — the Gulf coast. An island shaped like a palm tree was built for hotels, homes and entertainment.
In October of last year the same developer announced plans for the world’s tallest building yet. But the economic downturn soon forced the Nakheel company to suspend those plans.
Dubai is in the United Arab Emirates, a thirty-eight year old federation of seven territories ruled by emirs. But, unlike its neighbor Abu Dhabi, oil has not fueled Dubai’s growth. Oil is only six percent of its economy. Instead, the property and service industries have led its expansion.
Now Dubai finds itself in financial pain. And its reaction has some investors worried.
Last week, Dubai’s largest investment company called for a six-month delay in paying some of its debts. Dubai World Group is seeking to renegotiate terms on twenty-six billion dollars in debt. All of it is linked to Nakheel, which is part of Dubai World.
The government owns Dubai World and will take control of its restructuring. But Dubai’s finance chief said the government does not guarantee its debt.
Dubai World owes creditors a total of sixty billion dollars. The company is not an investment vehicle for the government like a sovereign wealth fund. It is a holding company for businesses in land development, port operations, energy and financial services. The group has used borrowed money for economic development.
Ghiyath Nakshbendi of American University in Washington notes that the problems are linked to a worldwide collapse in real estate prices.
GHIYATH NAKSHBENDI: “Emerging markets are as victim to the world meltdown as any other economy and there are no exceptions.”
He expects the debt restructuring to be successful. He says Dubai and its leaders have too much to lose to let creditors — like banks in Britain — suffer losses.
Still, last week’s announcement was a surprise. Now Dubai World is faced with selling properties at heavy losses to raise money. Some experts question how willing Abu Dhabi will be to rescue Dubai. Their relationship is sometimes tense.
Ghiyath Nakshbendi says Dubai World will have to change its ways.
GHIYATH NAKSHBENDI: “I think Dubai went a little bit too fast and they borrowed too much money in a very short period of time.”
Of course, Dubai was not alone in gathering debt during the easy credit years. There are worries that the crisis could be the first of more to come in other parts of the world.
And that’s the VOA Special English Economics Report, written by Mario Ritter. I’m Steve Ember.
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