Major Economies Caught in Debate Between Debt, Growth

August 13th, 2010 at 07:25am Under Economy Report

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This is the VOA Special English Economics Report.

Concerns about a double-dip recession were back in the news this week. Some economists warned of the possibility of another downturn if governments withdraw growth measures too quickly. But others warned of the dangers of letting deficits and debts continue to grow.

Leaders of the world’s biggest economies agreed Sunday to cut their deficits by half or more by twenty thirteen. They also promised to try to reduce the size of their government debt in relation to their economy by twenty sixteen.

Western countries have not faced such high debt levels in sixty years. Leaders like President Obama, however, argue that the recession would have been much worse without the spending.

At the close of the Group of 20 Summit in Toronto, Canada, the president noted moves in Europe to cut government spending.

BARACK OBAMA: “A number of our European partners are making difficult decisions. But we must recognize that our fiscal health tomorrow will rest in no small measure on our ability to create jobs and growth today.”

In the United States, stocks have been falling since April on concerns about the recovery. This week a business research group reported a drop in consumer confidence after three months of gains. The Conference Board said more Americans believed business conditions were bad and that jobs were hard to get.

New jobless claims rose in the latest government report. Still, employment expert John Challenger says his findings suggest that the nation’s employers are not expecting a double-dip recession. He points to a big drop in the number of planned job cuts announced by employers over the past six months.

Even so, other reports showed big drops in housing sales in May. That followed the end of a homebuyer’s tax credit. This week, Congress voted to extend the credit to the end of September — but only for people who signed a deal by April thirtieth.

Also this week, the House of Representatives passed a major bill to rewrite financial rules and add consumer protections. The bill provides a way for the government to close failing banks.

President Obama had hoped to sign a final bill by July fourth, Independence Day. But the Senate has delayed action on its version of the financial reform bill until Congress returns July twelfth. Democrats agreed to remove a proposed fee on banks, in hopes of securing passage.

The vote was delayed in part because of the death of longtime Senator Robert Byrd, a Democrat from West Virginia.

And that’s the VOA Special English Economics Report. You can read and listen to our programs at voaspecialenglish.com. I’m Mario Ritter.



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G-20 Nations Wonder: How Soon Is Too Soon to Cut Spending?

August 7th, 2010 at 07:50am Under Economy Report+ VOA

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This is the VOA Special English Economics Report.

This weekend, leaders and top finance officials from the world’s twenty biggest economies gather in Toronto, Canada. One of the big issues to discuss is how and when to reduce deficits and economic growth measures as conditions improve.

Chancellor Angela Merkel is defending Germany’s decision to cut spending by one hundred billion dollars over four years. But some experts say the world economy is still too weak for Europe’s biggest country to reduce spending.

Earlier this year, Germany was slow to react to the Greek debt crisis. European countries later had to agree to a nearly one trillion dollar rescue for the euro area.

Other countries including Britain, France and Japan have also announced cuts. But American Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner says: “Without growth now, deficits will rise further and undermine future growth.”

Economists also point out that spending cuts alone do not solve the problems of countries with structural economic problems.

G-20 nations are also struggling with financial reform issues. These include new rules for risky financial products and closer supervision of banks.

This week, Britain’s finance minister announced a new tax on big banks. Germany and France are considering similar measures to pay for future financial problems. President Obama proposed the idea for the United States in January. But how many countries will join Britain is not clear.

Nineteen countries and the European Union form the Group of 20, including developing economies like Brazil, China, India and Russia. Economist Sebastian Mallaby at the Council on Foreign Relations says G-20 nations should work together on financial reforms.

SEBASTIAN MALLABY: “Financial institutions are cross-border, they are multi-national, they are global. So you ought to have global rules to try and deal with them. But that is not the way the Congress is dealing with them in the United States, and that is not the way I expect European regulators will go either.”

G-20 nations also face the issue of trade imbalances, like the one between the United States and China. As recently as last week China said it would not discuss the dispute over its currency at the Toronto summit. But last Saturday China announced it will slowly let the value of the yuan rise. This week, it reached its highest exchange rate in two years.

China’s export prices may rise, but an American diplomat said the action “takes an irritant off the table in the U.S.-China relationship.”

And that’s the VOA Special English Economics report, written by Mario Ritter and with reporting by Jim Randle. For news from the G-20 summit, go to voaspecialenglish.com. I’m Steve Ember.

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